I think he is more for giving to the people.. We have become so divided. A recent history of presidential election bellwether counties - Ballotpedia March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Its too big. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. The economy and good-paying jobs always have been an issue up here.. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. DATA: Trump Won 95% Of Bellwether Counties, Making Biden Win If he wouldve just kept his mouth shut , Im not happy with the way things are now, Beggs added. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat of Elk County. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. Well just have to wait and see who will go into the building. Hes organizing a Second Amendment rally in Ridgway for Oct. 17 to make sure gun rights are fresh in peoples minds when they head to the ballot box. She also said that many people who come into the pub are outspoken about the current state of affairs in the United States, especially on Saturdays when the crowds are larger. MORE PROOF OF FRAUD: 16 of 17 Bellwether Counties Went for Trump HAS I cant lead that kind of lifestyle.. They write that the electoral record shows that not only are bellwether counties poor predictors of who will win a presidential election, rising polarization means that their ability to predict long streaks of elections has been in decline over the last two decades. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. The cost of my prescriptions has gone through the roof. Will Ohio's Wood County Continue to Be a Reliable - The Epoch Times They take pride in going to work, owning their home, having that simple life. In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. Tom Wolf overstepped his boundaries during the pandemic. Im not happy with the way things are now. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Bellwether County Portends a Red Pennsylvania in 2020 Election Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. We know that President Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 historic bellwether counties those that have regularly predicted the outcome of presidential contests. Hamilton had already cast his vote for Biden on the first day of early voting. He was an apprentice and then a journeyman in a local steamfitters union for about 10 years before he was laid off. If it is not demographically representative counties or politically competitive counties which are the bellwethers, why then do we find bellwethers? He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. This includes personalizing content and advertising. TRENDING: Meet Samuel Armes - Groomed by the CIA and FBI and Author of the Original "1776 Returns" FED-SURRECTION Document - That He . Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic, while Westmoreland County in Virginia is almost one-third black. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck and neck. Its difficult to have a conversation nowadays without really stirring up emotions, and thats probably my main issue, Hamilton told The Epoch Times as he stood in downtown Terre Haute. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. Data de l'entrada martin county clerk of court jobs; whats wrong secretary kim dramawiki . Thus, for some sequences of elections there are indeed, bellwether counties. The sentiments of those arriving at or leaving the Kroger grocery down the street in Port Clinton echoed those at the gas station. Our politicians need to look on both sides of the fence and work together. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. Right now, its horrible. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. Petr Svab is a reporter covering New York. I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. He worked for a tree service company for some years, but was laid off again. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . Political scientists have a term for counties or states that anticipate how the rest of the country will votebellwethers. Donald Trump Won Record 16 Bellwether Counties - Swarajyamag Tammy said that with the lakefront area being a popular spot for fishing and tourists, the price of gas always has been higher than average. This shows not only his strength but also the level of polarisation that took place in the 2020 elections.. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. A Guide To The Election 'Guides' - NPR.org Kyiv City Ballet US Premiere | Dance at Northrop 2016 Trump. While Zulch said he voted for Trump in both presidential elections, he says hell have to wait and see who runs before saying who he would vote for in 2024. Its gone, Jacobs said. The unhappiness and unsatisfactory conditions have spread similar to the way COVID-19 has, a truck driver by the name of Sam, who also was at Wee Willys, told The Epoch Times. Why are you trying so hard to get this one guy out of office? he said of the disproven Russian collusion accusations and the presidents impeachment. I look at the picture of what hes doing for my country.. In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. In a video posted to Twitter on Thursday, Trump 2020 Campaign Senior Advisor for Strategy Steve Cortes took a deep dive into the 2020 election data regarding President Donald Trump's overwhelmingly dominant performance in the United States' bellwether counties, adding to the statistical improbability of a Joe Biden electoral victory. Tisdell wanted to find out for himself, so he began to do his own research, reading mainstream news on both sides, as well as reports by independent citizen journalists. This claim is basically absurd. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. While declining to say which political party he supports or how he votes, he told The Epoch Times that he used to work at the Frickers in Findlay, which is south of Bowling Green, but transferred to his current location last year because of the high price of gas. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? Nothing is free, Hawker said. Things have been bad for so long, they dont care.. We believe that there are two main reasons. By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. Your email address will not be published. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). But, he said, he also doesnt complain. Supreme Court nominees also matter a lot to Myers in this election. Trump is a person who just couldnt accept defeat, Ellithorpe said. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. I think all politicians are crooks. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. You have to take the lesser of two evils. Our mission is to put on honest elections.. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. Theres too much corruption. But you cant winem all, Beggs, 80, told The Epoch Times. Ottawa County is on the doorstep of a Democratic stronghold, about 35 miles east of Toledo in neighboring Wood County. The way he spoke to President Trump bothers me even more, because hes speaking to my president. Now, its the situation with Russias invasion of Ukraine and how that might affect the world and its economies. There is nothing we can do about it; the power is out of our hands.. For example, if we call a county a bellwether if it has one less correct match than the number of elections in a sequence, we will get nearly 19 bellwethers even in a set of eleven elections, and in a set of seven elections, we will see 197 bellwethers far more than the 27 we would find under our assumptions when we require a bellwether to have an unblemished record of predictive success. Soon, he lost his union membership because he had no money to pay the dues. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. Hes concerned a Biden administration would mean an end to fracking, higher gas prices, and utility bill hikes. Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Tulsi Gabbard Says Election Fraud a 'Serious Threat,' Announces Bill Targeting Ballot Harvesting. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. It was everything, all at once, all of a sudden. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. Nothing has changed regarding the date of the May 3 primary election, Baumgardner said. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. We need to make sure we keep our gun rights.. For example, a county might be said to be a "bellwether county" if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state.